Terrorism Outlook for 2012
The global terrorist threat is diversifying. After embracing al Qaeda tactics and ideology, more local groups seek to emulate al Qaeda. Groups are planning domestic and international operations to cause mass casualties.
Putin And The Challenge Of The ‘Vanguard Of The Bourgeoisie’
Barring some extraordinary developments between now and 4 March, Putin will win the upcoming presidential elections in Russia. So if winning is not the real challenge facing Putin, what is?
Russia Transformed and Putin’s Challenge
How Putin and Medvedev react to the resurrection of civil society and the white revolution will determine the future pattern of political order in Russia
Likud: A Balance Of Historic Ideology and Reality
As long as Likud’s principles remain uncompromising and Netanyahu holds firm to them there is little that will come of the peace process with the Palestinians.
Air-Minded Considerations for Joint Counterinsurgency Doctrine
An effort is now under way to draft a joint COIN doctrine informed by an air-minded perspective to reflect the range, speed, and capabilities of aerospace forces.
21st Century Threats: Non State Actors, Participatory Democracy and Social Rights
The Americas are menaced by the emergence of a reactionary bloc of states & the rise of non-state actors that threaten to plunge the region into chaos.
Boko Haram and the Threat to the Secular Nigerian State
Boko Haram has morphed from a local radical Muslim group to one that is more broadly Nigeria-focused. Its goals cannot be reconciled with the existence of the secular Nigerian state.
Qatar: Emergence of a Regional Power with International Reach
The highly visible role played by Qatar in spearheading the destruction of the Gaddafi regime in Libya has focused world attention onto this tiny Persian Gulf emirate.
The ICTY and the Challenges of Reconciliation in the Former Yugoslavia
The International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) has issued 161 indictments since its establishment in 1993. But has it had a positive impact on peace and reconciliation?
Downgrading Iranian-British Relations: The Anatomy of a Folly
Iran trudged into 2012 under unsettling circumstances. Severe international sanctions have already been taking their toll on its economy while a combination of sabotage activities, targeted killings, and other covert operations against Iranian military initiatives and figures are bedeviling its national security.
