Iran will benefit if it succeeds in forming alliances with regional rivals and restoring dialogue with Europe, while maintaining ties with Russia and China.
Re-examining developments from before the Islamic Revolution can cast light upon recent events, despite differences between the two regimes.
For Iran, conceding to the Trump administration’s demands may be a logical step to avoid falling from the looming precipice.
Iran’s evolving military doctrine reflects not only a response to immediate threats, but also a longer-term vision to redefine power dynamics in a multipolar Middle East.
The complete disintegration of Iran’s nuclear facilities are unlikely, but an acute downgrading of Iran’s nuclear capacity can be achieved.
Whatever happens next in the region, the risks of a broader war (although unlikely) cannot be ruled out – especially when considering an Iranian response.
The Islamic Republic and its liegemen are preparing to sustain a multifront war against the US, Israel, and Arab foes.
The restoration of the JCPOA provides the best bet America has for tackling the Chinese challenge to the US-dominated global hierarchy.
Even when agreements fall apart, such as between the US and Iran over Iran’s nuclear programme, they can leave lasting effects that form a basis for future negotiations.
Self-determination, rather than just a regime change in Iran, is what will truly fulfil Kurdish dignity and liberation.
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