Ignore the Paradox: Russia, Ukraine, and Nuclear Deterrence
There is no empirical evidence that the assumption of emboldened and risk-acceptant conventional conflict behavior of Russia is in some way caused by, or protected by, MAD.
The Ideas Behind Putin’s War in Ukraine
Ukraine’s integration into the West is unacceptable to the Kremlin on security grounds, it is also inadmissible for what Putin would consider ‘civilizational’ reasons.
Opinion – On 9 May Putin’s Russia Will Glorify War and Stalin
Putin’s so-called de-Nazification has nothing to do with combating Nazis in Ukraine and everything to do with the xenophobic Stalinist and racist climate in Putin’s Russia.
Russia’s War Goals in Ukraine
There is no obvious end point or exit point for Putin as his goal is to win and occupy a vast territory and to be recognized as a victorious conqueror that has restored the glory of Russia.
Russia’s War in Ukraine Points to Another Historical Blunder
If this military adventure fails to reach its objectives, Russia will be a humiliated pariah state on the fringes of world economic and political power.
Opinion – The Risk of Nuclear War with Russia
Given the increased use of war rhetoric and calls for no-fly-zones Western leaders must deploy political wisdom and show a capacity for serious judgement.
Opinion – Russian Motives in Ukraine and Western Response Options
Putin’s worldview is not uncommon and corresponds to that of Donald Trump, who immediately after the invasion of Ukraine commended Putin as a genius.
Vladimir Putin’s Imperialism and Military Goals Against Ukraine
Russian great power nationalists led by Putin seek to wipe Ukraine and the Ukrainian people from the map of Europe and massively abuse human rights.
Putin and the Two Fears of the Prince
Putin is facing a simple reality: with every additional month in office, he has more to lose and fewer ways out – providing fertile ground for high-intensity affective responses.
Opinion – Macron’s Pivot Towards Russia
In a world increasingly dictated by heightened power competition, Macron believes he can turn Putin into an important security partner for Europe.
